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Rose Summers Politics & Governance

Forecast 01 Target 2029

Open prediction

Andy Burnham's Honeymoon Will Not Last

A reader counterforecast argues that a warmer voice cannot rescue Labour if fiscal restraint, restrictive migration politics and modest household relief preserve the Starmer settlement.

26%Reader’s forecast (Enhanced)26%Resolves 2029

ParallaxSee Politics & Governance

Forecast 02 Target 2029

Open forecast

Open prediction

Andy Burnham Will Be the Last Prime Minister of This Parliament

Labour may tire of Burnham before the election, but it will not repeat the Conservative collapse by installing Britain's third prime minister in one Parliament.

74%House forecast74%Resolves 2029